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Subtle Reality Shift

The Index

Weekly readings of the Automation Displacement Index — seventeen tracked signals scored 0 to 4, rolled into a single number and a policy lag gap. The archive of every reading since the baseline.

The Index

ADI 40; nine readings, nine declines
LockSimple

Aug 24, 2026

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4 min read

ADI 40; nine readings, nine declines

Office and clerical staffing has been negative in every week the series has existed.

The Index

ADI 40; four weeks, one point
LockSimple

Aug 17, 2026

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4 min read

ADI 40; four weeks, one point

Net movement over four weeks: one point. The interesting number is somewhere else.

The Index

ADI 40; the headline and the number disagree
LockSimple

Aug 10, 2026

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5 min read

ADI 40; the headline and the number disagree

AI led job cuts for a fifth straight month. Total layoffs hit a two-year low. Both are true.

The Index

Baseline: the corrected first reading

Aug 3, 2026

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4 min read

Baseline: the corrected first reading

ADI 41. The model found a flaw in itself in week one; here it is, with both scorings.

The Index

The ADI scoring instrument
LockSimple

Jul 30, 2026

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1 min read

The ADI scoring instrument

Score your own week. v1.1, eighteen indicators.

Forecast reports

+1

Occupational exposure: IT, cybersecurity, database and data/BI
LockSimple

Jul 29, 2026

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4 min read

Occupational exposure: IT, cybersecurity, database and data/BI

5.58 million jobs, 3.28% of the US workforce — and why the biggest numbers aren't the most exposed

Forecast reports

+1

The high-volume picture: what Washington would actually do
LockSimple

Jul 29, 2026

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4 min read

The high-volume picture: what Washington would actually do

45.8 million jobs, 27% of US employment — and why headcount doesn't predict the policy response

Forecast reports

+1

The worst case, and who absorbs it
LockSimple

Jul 29, 2026

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5 min read

The worst case, and who absorbs it

Four weighted scenarios, the five failures the worst case requires, and who actually absorbs it

The Index

How the Automation Displacement Index is built

Jul 28, 2026

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5 min read

How the Automation Displacement Index is built

The full specification; eighteen signals, their sources, and every scoring anchor

Subtle Reality Shift

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